Pulling SEC filings + quote and writing the call…

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.
Next earnings Aug 3, 2026 · consensus $0.13 EPS, $1.20B rev
Last earnings -2.8% on 2026-05-13
FY26 swung to a $225M loss on $263M of impairment/restructuring charges — broken thesis, no margin of safety at 0.2x sales.
Revenue $4.69B · FY2026
Grocery Outlet's FY2026 results mark a decisive break from the prior multi-year growth narrative. Revenue grew 7.3% to $4.69B, but the entire year's GAAP operating result collapsed to a $222M loss versus a $78M profit in FY2024 — a $300M swing. The MD&A makes clear this was not a one-time mark: management took $113.8M in long-lived asset impairments, $149.0M in goodwill impairment, and $45.9M of restructuring charges (vs. $15.9M prior). Stacked on top, SG&A grew 8.5% — faster than sales — so even excluding the charges, underlying operating leverage is going the wrong way. Net margin of -4.8% and ROE of -22.9% on a 30.3% gross margin (flat YoY) tells you the problem isn't cost-of-goods; it's overhead, store-portfolio quality, and the UGO acquisition not earning its keep.
The filing language is unusually candid about pressure that isn't going away. Management flags that 'comparable store sales have been negatively impacted by decreased average transaction size' — the core customer is buying less per visit. Layered on top: a 'rapidly changing tariff environment' on imported fresh meat and general merchandise where the company explicitly states it 'cannot reasonably estimate the total financial impact,' and a February 2026 Supreme Court IEEPA ruling whose refund mechanics are 'highly uncertain.' For an extreme-value grocer whose 40–70% price gap depends on opportunistic sourcing, that's a direct hit to the buying model.
Is GO a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →
AVOID means we wouldn't engage at all — if expressing the short side anyway, only with capped risk.
Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.
| Line item | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.13B | $3.58B | $3.97B | $4.37B | $4.69B |
| Gross profit | $973M | $1.09B | $1.24B | $1.32B | $1.42B |
| Operating income | $107M | $95.0M | $126M | $78.3M | -$222M |
| Net income | $107M | $65.1M | $79.4M | $39.5M | -$225M |
| Diluted EPS | $1.08 | $0.65 | $0.79 | $0.40 | -$2.30 |
| Net margin | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | -4.8% |
10-year statements — income, cash flow, balance sheet & CSV export →
Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.
Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.
Executive/board change announced alongside Reg FD disclosure
Annual meeting vote results reported; routine governance
Q1 FY26 10-Q following impairment-heavy year; trends key
Q1 FY26 10-Q following impairment-heavy year; trends key
Annual proxy: board slate, pay, auditor ratification
Leadership change disclosed with Reg FD release
FY25: $225M net loss on $263M impairments+restructuring; margins crushed
FY25: $225M net loss on $263M impairments+restructuring; margins crushed
Officer/director transition announced
Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001771515, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-13) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/25/2026, 2:29:36 PM.
AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.
Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 25, 2026, 10:29 AM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.
Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.
Last 90 days: 2 open-market buys · 0 sales
| 2026-06-25 | Miller Paul Blaine See Remarks | Buy | 5.00K @ $9.50 | $47.5K |
| 2026-06-18 | Miller Paul Blaine See Remarks | Buy | 10.0K @ $9.37 | $93.7K |
| 2026-06-15 | Leary Susan Michelle SVP, Accounting | Award | 4.43K | |
| 2026-06-15 | Ferry Ian Daniel EVP, CFO and Treasurer | Award | 12.9K | |
| 2026-06-15 | Miller Paul Blaine See Remarks | Award | 27.4K | |
| 2026-06-01 | York Jeffrey Director | Award | 18.9K | |
| 2026-06-01 | Molloy Lawrence Director | Award | 18.9K | |
| 2026-06-01 | Lindberg Eric J. Jr. Director | Award | 18.9K |
| Soros Fund Management | 36.9K sh | $260K |
As of each fund’s latest quarterly 13F — a delayed snapshot, not a live position. All tracked funds →
Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.
Disclosed under the STOCK Act
Self-reported periodic transaction reports (STOCK Act). Amounts are disclosed ranges; a trade may be a spouse's. Disclosures lag the trade by up to ~45 days. Source: House Clerk + Senate eFD.
1195 tracked peers · median
Recent news tone vs the market's typical (which skews positive). A soft signal, not a recommendation.