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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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TTENK/calls
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Home›Stocks›GO
GO logo

GO

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.

Next earnings Aug 3, 2026 · consensus $0.13 EPS, $1.20B rev

Last earnings -2.8% on 2026-05-13

Avoid
$10.39
▲ +6.89%
$10.39▼ -16.34%
over 1Y
L $5.79H $18.66
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today+6.9%
1W+9.0%
1M+22.7%
3M+43.9%
YTD+2.2%
1Y-16.3%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityTimelineFilings
Rating
Avoid
Quality
C-
Valuation
Fair value
Filings
Flagged
Avoid
Conviction
Horizon
Medium (3–12mo)
12-mo target
$•••
Street · 22 analysts
Hold

FY26 swung to a $225M loss on $263M of impairment/restructuring charges — broken thesis, no margin of safety at 0.2x sales.

Revenue $4.69B · FY2026

Grocery Outlet's FY2026 results mark a decisive break from the prior multi-year growth narrative. Revenue grew 7.3% to $4.69B, but the entire year's GAAP operating result collapsed to a $222M loss versus a $78M profit in FY2024 — a $300M swing. The MD&A makes clear this was not a one-time mark: management took $113.8M in long-lived asset impairments, $149.0M in goodwill impairment, and $45.9M of restructuring charges (vs. $15.9M prior). Stacked on top, SG&A grew 8.5% — faster than sales — so even excluding the charges, underlying operating leverage is going the wrong way. Net margin of -4.8% and ROE of -22.9% on a 30.3% gross margin (flat YoY) tells you the problem isn't cost-of-goods; it's overhead, store-portfolio quality, and the UGO acquisition not earning its keep.

The filing language is unusually candid about pressure that isn't going away. Management flags that 'comparable store sales have been negatively impacted by decreased average transaction size' — the core customer is buying less per visit. Layered on top: a 'rapidly changing tariff environment' on imported fresh meat and general merchandise where the company explicitly states it 'cannot reasonably estimate the total financial impact,' and a February 2026 Supreme Court IEEPA ruling whose refund mechanics are 'highly uncertain.' For an extreme-value grocer whose 40–70% price gap depends on opportunistic sourcing, that's a direct hit to the buying model.

Is GO a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →

The options angle

model · matches our verdict
Bear put spread (caution)~60d expiry
  • Long put 10.5 @ ~0.80 est
  • Short put 9.5 @ ~0.36 est
debit $44max +$56max −$44BE 10.06

AVOID means we wouldn't engage at all — if expressing the short side anyway, only with capped risk.

Open in the calculator →

Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY21FY22FY23FY24FY26
Revenue$3.13B$3.58B$3.97B$4.37B$4.69B
Gross profit$973M$1.09B$1.24B$1.32B$1.42B
Operating income$107M$95.0M$126M$78.3M-$222M
Net income$107M$65.1M$79.4M$39.5M-$225M
Diluted EPS$1.08$0.65$0.79$0.40-$2.30
Net margin3.4%1.8%2.0%0.9%-4.8%

10-year statements — income, cash flow, balance sheet & CSV export →

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value$1.45B
EV / EBITDA—
EV / Sales0.3
EV / FCF61.0
P / FCF43.2
PEG (trailing)—
Earnings yield-21.9%
FCF yield2.3%

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)-11.9%
Free cash flow$23.8M
Total debt$493M
Net cash-$423M
Altman Z-Score1.70 distress
Piotroski F-Score4/9

Capital returns

Buyback yield0.0%
Dividend yield (est.)0.0%
Shareholder yield0.0%
Shares Δ YoY+0.8%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Disclosure timeline

SEC · 8-Ks + reports
Recent disclosure tone has skewed negative — read the flagged items.
  1. 8-K Officer / director change2026-06-09

    Executive/board change announced alongside Reg FD disclosure

  2. 8-K Shareholder vote2026-06-03

    Annual meeting vote results reported; routine governance

  3. 8-K Earnings results2026-05-13

    Q1 FY26 10-Q following impairment-heavy year; trends key

  4. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-05-13

    Q1 FY26 10-Q following impairment-heavy year; trends key

  5. DEF 14A Proxy statement2026-04-21

    Annual proxy: board slate, pay, auditor ratification

  6. 8-K Officer / director change2026-04-02

    Leadership change disclosed with Reg FD release

  7. 8-K Exit / restructuring costs2026-03-04

    FY25: $225M net loss on $263M impairments+restructuring; margins crushed

  8. 10-K Annual report2026-03-04

    FY25: $225M net loss on $263M impairments+restructuring; margins crushed

  9. 8-K Officer / director change2026-01-13

    Officer/director transition announced

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
4Period ending 2026-06-252026-06-29open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-182026-06-22open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-152026-06-16open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-152026-06-16open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-152026-06-16open ↗3Period ending 2026-06-092026-06-16open ↗3Period ending 2026-06-092026-06-16open ↗3Period ending 2026-06-092026-06-16open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-06-092026-06-09open ↗SCHEDULE 13G/AFiling2026-06-05open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-06-012026-06-03open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-012026-06-02open ↗

Quality score

C-
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueA+
GrowthD
ProfitabilityF
Financial healthC
MomentumC-
  • ✓Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✗Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✗Net margin above 10%
  • ✗Return on equity above 15%
  • ✗Liabilities below 2× equity
5.7952-week18.66
Revenue
$4.69B
+7.3% YoY
Net margin
-4.8%
ROE
-22.9%
P/E
—

SEC fundamentals · FY 2026

'21'22'23'24'26

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$4.69B+7.3%
Net income-$225M-669.9%
Gross profit$1.42B+7.4%
Operating income-$222M-383.1%
Diluted EPS-$2.30-675.0%
Cash & equivalents$69.6M+10.8%
Total assets$3.09B-2.6%
Total liabilities$2.11B+6.6%
Stockholders' equity$984M-17.8%
Gross: 30.3%Op.: -4.7%L/E: 2.14x

Frequently asked

Is Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) a buy?
GO currently carries a Avoid rating with 4/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. FY26 swung to a $225M loss on $263M of impairment/restructuring charges — broken thesis, no margin of safety at 0.2x sales.
What is Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.'s quality score?
GO scores 51.270197703531046/100 (grade C-) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001771515, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-13) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/25/2026, 2:29:36 PM.

›About this recommendation — produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg · not investment advice

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 25, 2026, 10:29 AM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC

Last 90 days: 2 open-market buys · 0 sales

2026-06-25
Miller Paul Blaine
See Remarks
Buy5.00K @ $9.50$47.5K
2026-06-18
Miller Paul Blaine
See Remarks
Buy10.0K @ $9.37$93.7K
2026-06-15
Leary Susan Michelle
SVP, Accounting
Award4.43K
2026-06-15
Ferry Ian Daniel
EVP, CFO and Treasurer
Award12.9K
2026-06-15
Miller Paul Blaine
See Remarks
Award27.4K
2026-06-01
York Jeffrey
Director
Award18.9K
2026-06-01
Molloy Lawrence
Director
Award18.9K
2026-06-01
Lindberg Eric J. Jr.
Director
Award18.9K

Held by tracked funds

Form 13F · SEC · quarterly
Soros Fund Management36.9K sh$260K

As of each fund’s latest quarterly 13F — a delayed snapshot, not a live position. All tracked funds →

Earnings history

beat/miss · move
2026-05-13Beat +112.8% est▼ -2.76%8-K ↗
2026-03-04Miss -13.1% est▼ -0.90%8-K ↗
2025-11-04Beat +8.1% est▼ -0.49%8-K ↗
2025-08-05Beat +27.8% est▼ -2.98%8-K ↗
2025-05-06—▲ +0.18%8-K ↗
2025-02-25—▼ -0.38%8-K ↗

Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.

Congressional trades

all activity →

Disclosed under the STOCK Act

2023-04-17Daniel GoldmanSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2022-08-13Susie LeeSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗

Self-reported periodic transaction reports (STOCK Act). Amounts are disclosed ranges; a trade may be a spouse's. Disclosures lag the trade by up to ~45 days. Source: House Clerk + Senate eFD.

Recent news

market news →
Q4 Earnings Outperformers: Albertsons (NYSE:ACI) And The Rest Of The Grocery Store StocksBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-07-03
How Investors May Respond To Grocery Outlet (GO) Losing Inclusion In Key Russell Defensive IndicesBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-07-03
Most shorted consumer staple small caps dominated by Ridgetech, Beyond MeatBullish
seekingalpha.com· 2026-07-01
A Look Back at Non-Discretionary Retail Stocks’ Q1 Earnings: Grocery Outlet (NASDAQ:GO) Vs The Rest Of The PackBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-30
3 Unpopular Stocks We Think Twice AboutBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-26
Q1 Earnings Outperformers: Dollar General (NYSE:DG) And The Rest Of The Non-Discretionary Retail StocksBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-25

Vs tracked universe

compare →

1195 tracked peers · median

TENK Score51 vs 67
Revenue growth7.3% vs 7.5%
Net margin-4.8% vs 10.0%
Return on equity-22.9% vs 12.0%
P/E— vs 26.2

News sentiment

EODHD · 21d
Bullish
+0.15
vs typical · 37 articles
↓ cooling

Recent news tone vs the market's typical (which skews positive). A soft signal, not a recommendation.