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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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Home›Stocks›LAD
LAD logo

LAD

LITHIA MOTORS INC

Next earnings Jul 27, 2026 · consensus $8.87 EPS, $9.71B rev

Last earnings +5.0% on 2026-04-29

Buy
$306.23
▲ +5.10%
$306.23▼ -8.05%
over 1Y
L $242.52H $355.23
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today+5.1%
1W+3.2%
1M+3.6%
3M+21.8%
YTD-7.5%
1Y-8.0%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityTimelineFilings
Rating
Buy
Quality
B-
Valuation
Undervalued
Filings
Watch
Buy
Conviction
Horizon
Long (>12mo)
12-mo target
$•••
Street · 21 analysts
Buy

Lithia compounds revenue and buys back stock aggressively (shares -11%), driving 10% EPS growth at a cheap 9.1x.

Revenue $37.6B · FY2025

The read

Quality fundamentals and an attractive price line up (~23% below fair value) — the rarer case where both the business and the entry look good.

Lithia Motors is the largest US auto-retail consolidator, executing a roll-up strategy that has grown revenue from $22.8B in FY2021 to $37.6B in FY2025 (+4.0% in the latest year). The dealer model is inherently low-margin (15.2% gross, 4.2% operating, 2.2% net), but the scale, diversified revenue mix (new/used vehicles, parts and service, finance), and a 12.4% ROE make it a durable cash-generating franchise. FY2025 net income grew 2.9% to $820M, while diluted EPS rose a faster 9.7% to $32.32 — the gap entirely explained by capital discipline.

The defining FY2025 action was capital return: Lithia repurchased $961M of stock (up 162.6%), shrinking the share count 11.1%. That is an enormous reduction for one year and the primary EPS-growth engine, signaling management views the shares as undervalued. Retained earnings grew 13.3% to $6.52B even as the buyback held equity roughly flat. The trade-off is leverage: total liabilities rose 12.3% and liabilities/equity reached 2.80x, partly reflecting floorplan financing (normal for dealers) and acquisition debt. Operating cash flow of $357M (down 16.1%) is modest relative to net income, a function of working-capital and inventory dynamics inherent to the model.

Is LAD a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →

The options angle

model · matches our verdict
Bull call spread~90d expiry
  • Long call 305 @ ~24.01 est
  • Short call 335 @ ~12.33 est
debit $1,168max +$1,832max −$1,168BE 316.68

BUY verdict with defined risk: the short call finances part of the long one; max loss is the net debit.

Open in the calculator →

Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$22.8B$28.2B$31.0B$36.2B$37.6B
Gross profit$4.26B$5.15B$5.23B$5.56B$5.73B
Operating income$1.66B$1.94B$1.69B$1.57B$1.59B
Net income$1.06B$1.25B$1.00B$797M$820M
Diluted EPS$36.54$44.17$36.29$29.45$32.32
Net margin4.6%4.4%3.2%2.2%2.2%

10-year statements — income, cash flow, balance sheet & CSV export →

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value$8.99B
EV / EBITDA4.7
EV / Sales0.2
EV / FCF1550.2
P / FCF1204.1
PEG (trailing)3.30
Earnings yield11.7%
FCF yield0.1%

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)14.0%
Free cash flow$5.80M
Total debt$2.40B
Net cash-$2.01B
Altman Z-Score2.35 grey
Piotroski F-Score3/9

Capital returns

Buyback yield13.8%
Dividend yield (est.)0.8%
Shareholder yield14.6%
Shares Δ YoY-11.1%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Disclosure timeline

SEC · 8-Ks + reports
Some governance/structural items recently, but no outright red flags.
  1. 8-K Shareholder vote2026-05-01
  2. 8-K Earnings results2026-04-29
  3. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-04-29
  4. DEF 14A Proxy statement2026-03-11
  5. 8-K Material agreement2026-03-04
  6. 10-K Annual report2026-02-25
  7. 8-K Charter / bylaws change2026-02-20
  8. 8-K Officer / director change2026-02-13
  9. 8-K Earnings results2026-02-11

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
11-KPeriod ending 2025-12-312026-06-26open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-122026-06-15open ↗144Filing2026-06-12open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-102026-06-11open ↗144Filing2026-06-10open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-262026-05-27open ↗144Filing2026-05-26open ↗SCHEDULE 13G/AFiling2026-05-15open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-112026-05-12open ↗144Filing2026-05-12open ↗144Filing2026-05-11open ↗SCHEDULE 13GFiling2026-05-06open ↗

Quality score

B-
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueA+
GrowthC+
ProfitabilityC+
Financial healthB-
MomentumC+
  • ✓Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✗Net margin above 10%
  • ✗Return on equity above 15%
  • ✗Liabilities below 2× equity
  • ✓P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$377.31

Undervalued +23% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $32.32 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 3.4% growth) × 0.85 quality = 11.7× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

242.5252-week355.23
Revenue
$37.6B
+4.0% YoY
Net margin
2.2%
ROE
12.4%
P/E
9.5

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'21'22'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$37.6B+4.0%
Net income$820M+2.9%
Gross profit$5.73B+3.1%
Operating income$1.59B+1.7%
Diluted EPS$32.32+9.7%
Cash & equivalents$391M-12.2%
Total assets$25.1B+8.6%
Total liabilities$18.5B+12.3%
Stockholders' equity$6.60B-0.7%
Gross: 15.2%Op.: 4.2%L/E: 2.80x

Frequently asked

Is LITHIA MOTORS INC (LAD) a buy?
LAD currently carries a Buy rating with 3/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Lithia compounds revenue and buys back stock aggressively (shares -11%), driving 10% EPS growth at a cheap 9.1x.
What is LAD's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on LAD's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $377.31. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is LAD overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, LAD currently appears undervalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is LITHIA MOTORS INC's quality score?
LAD scores 69.03395941104185/100 (grade B-) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001023128, latest 10-Q filed 2026-04-29) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/21/2026, 8:53:19 PM.

›About this recommendation — produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg · not investment advice

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 21, 2026, 4:53 PM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC

Last 90 days: 0 open-market buys · 4 sales

2026-06-12
Loretz Congdon Stacy
Director
Sell75.00 @ $315.00$23.6K
2026-06-10
McIntyre Shauna
Director
Sell165.00 @ $305.65$50.4K
2026-05-26
Bailey Richard J Jr
Director
Sell297.00 @ $280.58$83.3K
2026-05-11
McIntyre Shauna
Director
Sell245.00 @ $294.64$72.2K
2026-04-30
Miramontes Louis
Director
Award715.00
2026-04-30
McKinney Cassandra M.
Director
Award715.00
2026-04-30
McIntyre Shauna
Director
Award715.00
2026-04-30
Loretz Congdon Stacy
Director
Award715.00

Dividends

Quarterly
Yield (TTM)
0.7%
Annual / share
$2.22
Last ex-date
2026-05-08
Last amount
$0.57
ex 2026-05-08paid 2026-05-22$0.57
ex 2026-03-06paid 2026-03-20$0.55
ex 2025-11-07paid 2025-11-21$0.55
ex 2025-08-08paid 2025-08-22$0.55
ex 2025-05-09paid 2025-05-23$0.55
ex 2025-03-07paid 2025-03-21$0.53

Source: EODHD. Yield = trailing-12-month dividends ÷ price.

Earnings history

beat/miss · move
2026-04-29Beat +6.3% est▲ +1.86%8-K ↗
2026-02-11Miss -17.7% est▼ -8.33%8-K ↗
2025-10-22Beat +10.4% est▲ +6.39%8-K ↗
2025-07-29Beat +9.7% est▼ -7.03%8-K ↗
2025-04-23—▲ +2.46%8-K ↗
2025-02-12—▲ +0.73%8-K ↗

Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.

Congressional trades

all activity →

Disclosed under the STOCK Act

2025-09-12Lisa McClainSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2025-08-13Lisa McClainBuy$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2024-02-15Josh GottheimerSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2023-08-21Josh GottheimerSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗

Self-reported periodic transaction reports (STOCK Act). Amounts are disclosed ranges; a trade may be a spouse's. Disclosures lag the trade by up to ~45 days. Source: House Clerk + Senate eFD.

Vs tracked universe

compare →

1194 tracked peers · median

TENK Score69 vs 67
Revenue growth4.0% vs 7.5%
Net margin2.2% vs 10.0%
Return on equity12.4% vs 12.0%
P/E9.5 vs 26.2