Pulling SEC filings + quote and writing the call…

PACKAGING CORP OF AMERICA
Next earnings Jul 21, 2026 · consensus $2.38 EPS, $2.52B rev
Last earnings +4.8% on 2026-04-23
Best-in-class containerboard operator growing via the Greif deal, but cyclical earnings and a 26.7x multiple cap the upside.
Revenue (FY2025) $8.99B · FY2025
Middling fundamentals and a rich price (~60% above fair value) leave little margin of safety — a wait-and-see.
Packaging Corp of America is the third-largest North American containerboard producer, operating ten mills and 91 corrugated plants. FY2025 revenue rose 7.2% to $8.99B, driven by higher packaging and paper prices, better mix, lower fiber costs, and the September 2025 acquisition of Greif's containerboard business for $1.8B in cash. Reported net income dipped 3.9% to $774M ($8.58 diluted EPS), but that was depressed by $114M of special items; excluding those, management reports $888M ($9.84 per share), up from $814M, with legacy PCA earnings improving $0.96/share against a ($0.16) first-quarter drag from the newly-acquired Greif mills. Packaging segment EBITDA excluding special items grew to $1,830M from $1,598M.
The business throws off strong cash — operating cash flow jumped 30.8% to $1.56B — and earns a healthy 16.8% ROE. The flip side is heavy reinvestment: capex rose 23.8% to $829M and D&A climbed to $653M, both consistent with a capital-intensive mill operator now integrating Greif. The acquisition was debt-funded: long-term debt rose 60.3% to $3.97B and cash fell 22.8% to $529M, though management cites $1,241M of total liquidity including the revolver. Equity of $4.60B against $3.97B of long-term debt is still manageable for a stable cash generator.
AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.
Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 21, 2026, 4:41 PM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.
| Line item | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $7.73B | $8.48B | $7.80B | $8.38B | $8.99B |
| Gross profit | $1.87B | $2.09B | $1.70B | $1.78B | $1.89B |
| Operating income | $1.24B | $1.42B | $1.08B | $1.10B | $1.11B |
| Net income | $841M | $1.03B | $765M | $805M | $774M |
| Diluted EPS | $8.83 | $11.03 | $8.48 | $8.93 | $8.58 |
| Net margin | 10.9% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% |
Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.
Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.
Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000075677, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-08) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/21/2026, 8:41:49 PM.
Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.
Last 90 days: 0 open-market buys · 1 sale
| 2026-05-27 | KOWLZAN MARK W Chairman & CEO | Sell | 9.27K @ $217.08 | $2.01M |
| 2026-05-12 | MENCOFF SAMUEL M Director | Award | 591.00 | |
| 2026-05-12 | SOULELES THOMAS S Director | Award | 591.00 | |
| 2026-05-12 | LYONS ROBERT C Director | Award | 591.00 | |
| 2026-05-12 | Harman Donna A. Director | Award | 591.00 | |
| 2026-05-12 | GOWLAND KAREN E Director | Award | 591.00 | |
| 2026-05-12 | Farrington Duane C Director | Award | 591.00 | |
| 2026-05-12 | BEEBE CHERYL K Director | Award | 591.00 |
Source: EODHD. Yield = trailing-12-month dividends ÷ price.
Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.
5 buys · 1 sell · 2 members · last 180d
Self-reported periodic transaction reports (STOCK Act). Amounts are disclosed ranges; a trade may be a spouse's. Disclosures lag the trade by up to ~45 days. Source: House Clerk + Senate eFD.
Recent news tone vs the market's typical (which skews positive). A soft signal, not a recommendation.