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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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Home›Stocks›PKG

PKG

PACKAGING CORP OF AMERICA

Next earnings Jul 21, 2026 · consensus $2.38 EPS, $2.52B rev

Last earnings +4.8% on 2026-04-23

Hold
$238.20
▲ +0.23%
$238.20▲ +28.86%
over 1Y
L $183.91H $243.26
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today+0.2%
1W-1.2%
1M+6.6%
3M+17.3%
YTD+14.2%
1Y+28.9%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityTimelineFilings
Rating
Hold
Quality
B
Valuation
Overvalued
Filings
Flagged
Hold
Conviction
Horizon
Medium (3–12mo)
12-mo target
$•••
Street · 16 analysts
Buy

Best-in-class containerboard operator growing via the Greif deal, but cyclical earnings and a 26.7x multiple cap the upside.

Revenue (FY2025) $8.99B · FY2025

The read

Middling fundamentals and a rich price (~60% above fair value) leave little margin of safety — a wait-and-see.

Packaging Corp of America is the third-largest North American containerboard producer, operating ten mills and 91 corrugated plants. FY2025 revenue rose 7.2% to $8.99B, driven by higher packaging and paper prices, better mix, lower fiber costs, and the September 2025 acquisition of Greif's containerboard business for $1.8B in cash. Reported net income dipped 3.9% to $774M ($8.58 diluted EPS), but that was depressed by $114M of special items; excluding those, management reports $888M ($9.84 per share), up from $814M, with legacy PCA earnings improving $0.96/share against a ($0.16) first-quarter drag from the newly-acquired Greif mills. Packaging segment EBITDA excluding special items grew to $1,830M from $1,598M.

The business throws off strong cash — operating cash flow jumped 30.8% to $1.56B — and earns a healthy 16.8% ROE. The flip side is heavy reinvestment: capex rose 23.8% to $829M and D&A climbed to $653M, both consistent with a capital-intensive mill operator now integrating Greif. The acquisition was debt-funded: long-term debt rose 60.3% to $3.97B and cash fell 22.8% to $529M, though management cites $1,241M of total liquidity including the revolver. Equity of $4.60B against $3.97B of long-term debt is still manageable for a stable cash generator.

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 21, 2026, 4:41 PM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$7.73B$8.48B$7.80B$8.38B$8.99B
Gross profit$1.87B$2.09B$1.70B$1.78B$1.89B
Operating income$1.24B$1.42B$1.08B$1.10B$1.11B
Net income$841M$1.03B$765M$805M$774M
Diluted EPS$8.83$11.03$8.48$8.93$8.58
Net margin10.9%12.1%9.8%9.6%8.6%

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value$24.7B
EV / EBITDA14.0
EV / Sales2.7
EV / FCF33.8
P / FCF29.1
PEG (trailing)—
Earnings yield3.6%
FCF yield3.4%

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)10.2%
Free cash flow$729M
Total debt$3.97B
Net cash-$3.44B
Piotroski F-Score3/9

Capital returns

Buyback yield0.7%
Dividend yield (est.)0.5%
Shareholder yield1.2%
Shares Δ YoY+99245.4%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Disclosure timeline

SEC · 8-Ks + reports
Red flag in recent filings — material impairment (2025-12-04). Worth a closer look.
  1. 8-K Shareholder vote2026-05-13
  2. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-05-08
  3. 8-K Earnings results2026-04-23
  4. DEF 14A Proxy statement2026-03-27
  5. 8-K Officer / director change2026-03-03
  6. 10-K Annual report2026-02-26
  7. 8-K Earnings results2026-01-28
  8. 8-K Reg FD disclosure2025-12-10
  9. 8-K Material impairment2025-12-04

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
4Period ending 2026-05-272026-05-28open ↗11-KPeriod ending 2025-12-312026-05-28open ↗11-KPeriod ending 2025-12-312026-05-28open ↗144Filing2026-05-27open ↗SCHEDULE 13GFiling2026-05-15open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-05-122026-05-13open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-122026-05-13open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-122026-05-12open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-122026-05-12open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-122026-05-12open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-122026-05-12open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-122026-05-12open ↗

Quality score

B
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueC+
GrowthC-
ProfitabilityB
Financial healthA-
MomentumA
  • ✓Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✗Net margin above 10%
  • ✓Return on equity above 15%
  • ✗P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$94.67

Overvalued -60% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $8.58 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 1.7% growth) × 1.00 quality = 11.0× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

186.8052-week243.26
Revenue
$8.99B
+7.2% YoY
Net margin
8.6%
ROE
16.8%
P/E
27.8

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'21'22'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$8.99B+7.2%
Net income$774M-3.9%
Gross profit$1.89B+6.0%
Operating income$1.11B+0.5%
Diluted EPS$8.58-3.9%
Cash & equivalents$529M-22.8%
Total assets$10.7B+21.4%
Stockholders' equity$4.60B+4.4%
Gross: 21.0%Op.: 12.3%

Frequently asked

Is PACKAGING CORP OF AMERICA (PKG) a buy?
PKG currently carries a Hold rating with 3/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Best-in-class containerboard operator growing via the Greif deal, but cyclical earnings and a 26.7x multiple cap the upside.
What is PKG's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on PKG's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $94.67. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is PKG overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, PKG currently appears overvalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is PACKAGING CORP OF AMERICA's quality score?
PKG scores 70.39338947059252/100 (grade B) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000075677, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-08) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/21/2026, 8:41:49 PM.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC

Last 90 days: 0 open-market buys · 1 sale

2026-05-27
KOWLZAN MARK W
Chairman & CEO
Sell9.27K @ $217.08$2.01M
2026-05-12
MENCOFF SAMUEL M
Director
Award591.00
2026-05-12
SOULELES THOMAS S
Director
Award591.00
2026-05-12
LYONS ROBERT C
Director
Award591.00
2026-05-12
Harman Donna A.
Director
Award591.00
2026-05-12
GOWLAND KAREN E
Director
Award591.00
2026-05-12
Farrington Duane C
Director
Award591.00
2026-05-12
BEEBE CHERYL K
Director
Award591.00

Dividends

Quarterly
Yield (TTM)
2.2%
Annual / share
$5.25
Last ex-date
2026-06-15
Last amount
$1.50
ex 2026-06-15paid 2026-07-15$1.50
ex 2026-03-13paid 2026-04-15$1.25
ex 2025-12-15paid 2026-01-14$1.25
ex 2025-09-15paid 2025-10-15$1.25
ex 2025-06-13paid 2025-07-15$1.25
ex 2025-03-14paid 2025-04-15$1.25

Source: EODHD. Yield = trailing-12-month dividends ÷ price.

Earnings history

beat/miss · move
2026-04-23Beat +11.4% est▲ +4.77%8-K ↗
2026-01-28Miss -4.5% est▼ -2.69%8-K ↗
2025-10-23Miss -3.8% est▲ +2.17%8-K ↗
2025-07-24Beat +0.8% est▼ -0.19%8-K ↗
2025-04-23—▼ -0.93%8-K ↗
2025-01-29—▼ -9.77%8-K ↗

Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.

Congressional trades

all activity →

5 buys · 1 sell · 2 members · last 180d

+$32.0K net boughtlast trade 60d ago
$40.0K bought$8.00K sold
2026-06-05April McClain DelaneyBuy$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2026-05-06April McClain DelaneyBuy$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2026-05-06April McClain DelaneyBuy$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2026-04-06April McClain DelaneyBuy$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2026-04-06April McClain DelaneyBuy$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2026-01-15Julie JohnsonSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2025-12-11Julie JohnsonSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2025-09-11Julie JohnsonBuy$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2025-09-11Julie JohnsonSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2025-08-14Julie JohnsonBuy$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2025-08-14Julie JohnsonBuy$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2024-09-06John JamesSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗

Self-reported periodic transaction reports (STOCK Act). Amounts are disclosed ranges; a trade may be a spouse's. Disclosures lag the trade by up to ~45 days. Source: House Clerk + Senate eFD.

Recent news

market news →
What to Expect From Packaging Corporation's Next Quarterly Earnings ReportBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-29
1 Mid-Cap Stock on Our Buy List and 2 We AvoidBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-29
Smurfit Westrock Stock: Is SW Underperforming the Material Sector?Bullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-24
Packaging Corporation of America Schedules Conference Call to Discuss Second Quarter 2026 Operating ResultsBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-22
Is International Paper Stock Underperforming the Nasdaq?Bullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-18
Is Packaging Corporation of America Stock Underperforming the S&P 500?Bullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-18

Vs Materials peers

compare →

53 tracked peers · median

TENK Score70 vs 67
Revenue growth7.2% vs 3.7%
Net margin8.6% vs 6.5%
Return on equity16.8% vs 11.3%
P/E27.8 vs 27.1
Peers
SONSSRMCFNEMCCKCDEPPGSCCO

News sentiment

EODHD · 27d
Bullish
+0.14
vs typical · 43 articles
↓ cooling

Recent news tone vs the market's typical (which skews positive). A soft signal, not a recommendation.